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Vercel AI Gateway: open-weight models hit 29% of token volume, price flattens

Vercel's July 2026 Production Index shows open-weight models at 29% of token volume on under 4% of spend. DeepSeek hits 22.6%. Price per token flattens after May's 20% jump.

Price per token flattened in June after climbing nearly 20% in May. Vercel’s AI Gateway Production Index shows open-weight models ran 29% of all gateway tokens — up from 11% in April — on under 4% of total spend.

The numbers from June 2026:

  • Token volume grew 29%; spend grew 27% — nearly identical rates after May’s 2x divergence
  • Open-weight share: 11% in April → 29% in June, a 2.6x jump in two months
  • DeepSeek reached 22.6% of token volume, third place among all models routed through the gateway
  • Cost share: open-weight models carried nearly a third of traffic on under 4% of spend

Developers are routing production volume to models that cost a fraction of frontier alternatives. DeepSeek V4 Flash became the first open-weight model that teams drop directly into agentic pipelines as a plausible Anthropic substitute, according to OpenRouter’s June analysis. GLM-5.2 is also climbing.

Open-weight capability has held a consistent 3-6 month gap behind US frontier labs for over 18 months. That gap is now narrow enough that price dominates the routing decision for a large chunk of production traffic.

NOTE

Vercel’s index reflects production traffic routed through AI Gateway — tens of trillions of tokens monthly between enterprise applications and AI labs. It captures what teams actually deploy, not benchmark preferences.

The price floor held. If open-weight volume keeps climbing at this rate and spend doesn’t follow, the per-token cost curve bends downward — and the routing math for frontier models gets harder to justify on non-critical paths.